serieaFull Time

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

Monday, November 2, 2026

Sassuolo

34%

Draw

26%

Fiorentina

40%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Sassuolo

2 — 4

Fiorentina

Fiorentina wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Fiorentina.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Fiorentina	Fiorentina	41%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Fiorentina	Fiorentina	40%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Fiorentina	Fiorentina	40%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Sassuolo	XDraw	2Fiorentina
Polymarket	3.03	3.83	2.45
Kalshi	2.94	3.85	2.50
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.95	3.83	2.50

Sportsbook Odds23 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Sassuolo	XDraw	2Fiorentina
Betfair	2.96	3.75	2.50
Matchbook	2.96	3.75	2.50
Unibet (SE)	2.90	3.85	2.38
Pinnacle	2.92	3.70	2.43
William Hill	2.75	3.40	2.30
Marathon	2.83	3.68	2.38
BetOnline	2.77	3.72	2.47
888sport	2.75	3.40	2.30
1xBet	2.92	3.79	2.45
BetAnySports	2.80	3.65	2.40
Betclic	2.68	3.55	2.30
Betsson	2.82	3.60	2.38
Codere	2.80	3.60	2.41
Coolbet	2.90	3.65	2.43
GTbets	2.83	3.56	2.41
LeoVegas	2.70	3.55	2.28
NordicBet	2.82	3.55	2.35
PMU	2.65	3.50	2.23
Tipico	2.80	3.60	2.35
Unibet (FR)	2.55	3.30	2.20
Unibet (NL)	2.80	3.75	2.33
Winamax (DE)	2.70	3.70	2.30
Winamax (FR)	2.60	3.60	2.20
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)	2.95	3.83	2.50