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Sassuolo vs Lazio

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Sassuolo

26%

Draw

27%

Lazio

48%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Sassuolo

2 — 6

Lazio

Lazio wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lazio.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lazio	Lazio	48%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Lazio	Lazio	48%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lazio	Lazio	46%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Sassuolo	XDraw	2Lazio
Polymarket	3.90	3.76	2.09
Kalshi	3.92	3.78	2.08
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	3.67	3.71	2.18

Sportsbook Odds24 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Sassuolo	XDraw	2Lazio
Betfair	3.70	3.70	2.16
1xBet	3.58	3.65	2.16
Matchbook	3.70	3.70	2.16
Unibet (SE)	3.65	3.70	2.08
Pinnacle	3.63	3.54	2.13
William Hill	3.30	3.30	2.05
Marathon	3.48	3.54	2.10
BetOnline	3.50	3.61	2.12
888sport	3.30	3.30	2.05
BetAnySports	3.45	3.55	2.10
Betclic	3.35	3.42	2.00
Betsson	3.45	3.45	2.10
Codere	3.45	3.55	2.09
Coolbet	3.60	3.58	2.11
Everygame	3.65	3.50	2.00
GTbets	3.36	3.62	2.07
LeoVegas	3.35	3.45	2.00
NordicBet	3.45	3.40	2.10
PMU	3.30	3.35	1.95
Tipico	3.50	3.50	2.05
Unibet (FR)	3.30	3.40	1.95
Unibet (NL)	3.50	3.60	2.05
Winamax (DE)	3.45	3.50	2.00
Winamax (FR)	3.35	3.35	1.96
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)	3.67	3.71	2.18