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bundesligaFull Time

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Paderborn
19%
Draw
20%
Stuttgart
61%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

PaderbornPaderborn
0 — 2
StuttgartStuttgart
Stuttgart wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Stuttgart.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Stuttgart61%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Stuttgart61%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Stuttgart60%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket5.105.101.64
Kalshi5.265.001.64
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)5.034.971.67

Paderborn win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Felix Zwayer
Head to HeadLast 4 meetings
Paderborn
Stuttgart
Oct 10, 26
SC Paderborn 07
0-2
VfB Stuttgart
Jan 31, 23
SC Paderborn 07
1-2
VfB Stuttgart
May 23, 15
SC Paderborn 07
1-2
VfB Stuttgart
Dec 20, 14
VfB Stuttgart
0-0
SC Paderborn 07
Lineups
SC Paderborn 073-5-2
Coach: R. Kettemann
15N. NollG
21J. ter HorstD
25T. SchellerD
22M. HansenD
17L. CurdaM
28L. UlrichM
5S. CastañedaM
40G. VidovićM
23R. ObermairM
18M. PieringerF
30S. MarinoF
VfB Stuttgart3-4-2-1
Coach: S. Hoeneb
41D. SeimenG
3R. HendriksD
24J. ChabotD
7M. MittelstädtD
4J. VagnomanM
16A. KarazorM
6A. StillerM
10C. FührichM
18J. LewelingM
26D. UndavM
9E. DemirovićF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Paderborn vs Stuttgart?

Stuttgart won 2–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Stuttgart was the favourite at 61% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Paderborn 19%, draw 20%, Stuttgart 61%).