Schalke 04
23%
Draw
25%
RB Leipzig
52%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Schalke 04
0 — 2
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: RB Leipzig.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig | 53% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig | 52% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig | 52% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Schalke 04 | XDraw | 2RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 4.42 | 4.06 | 1.90 |
| Kalshi | 4.43 | 3.92 | 1.92 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 4.22 | 4.10 | 1.93 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Schalke 04 | XDraw | 2RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 4.30 | 4.00 | 1.91 |
 1xBet | 4.06 | 4.21 | 1.88 |
 Matchbook | 4.30 | 4.00 | 1.91 |
 Pinnacle | 4.27 | 3.90 | 1.86 |
 William Hill | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.80 |
 Marathon | 3.95 | 4.10 | 1.83 |
 BetOnline | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.85 |
 888sport | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.80 |
 Betclic | 3.95 | 3.80 | 1.74 |
 Betsson | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.82 |
 Codere | 4.00 | 3.85 | 1.85 |
 Coolbet | 4.15 | 4.00 | 1.85 |
 GTbets | 3.86 | 4.07 | 1.83 |
 LeoVegas | 3.85 | 3.65 | 1.81 |
 NordicBet | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.82 |
PMU | 3.75 | 3.55 | 1.78 |
 Tipico | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.80 |
 Unibet (FR) | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.74 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10 | 3.85 | 1.85 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.87 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.85 | 4.00 | 1.76 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70 | 3.90 | 1.72 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 4.22 | 4.10 | 1.93 |
Schalke 04 win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Schalke 04RB Leipzig
Oct 31, 26
FC Schalke 04
0-2
RB LeipzigMay 27, 23
RB Leipzig
4-2
FC Schalke 04Jan 24, 23
FC Schalke 04
1-6
RB LeipzigFeb 6, 21
FC Schalke 04
0-3
RB LeipzigOct 3, 20
RB Leipzig
4-0
FC Schalke 04Feb 22, 20
FC Schalke 04
0-5
RB LeipzigSep 28, 19
RB Leipzig
1-3
FC Schalke 04Mar 16, 19
FC Schalke 04
0-1
RB LeipzigLineups
FC Schalke 044-3-2-1
Coach: M. Muslić
1L. KariusG
5T. BeckerD
25N. KatićD
4H. KuruçayD
33Vitalie BeckerD
13S. TanakaM
43M. AyhanM
24A. AouchicheM
20J. AdamuM
19K. KaramanM
7Hwang Hee-ChanF
RB Leipzig4-5-1
Coach: M. Demichelis
26M. VandevoordtG
39B. HenrichsD
4W. OrbánD
23C. LukebaD
22D. RaumD
10B. GrudaM
20R. ReitzM
21N. El AynaouiM
6E. BanzuziM
7A. NusaM
40RômuloF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
RB Leipzig won 2–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
RB Leipzig was the favourite at 52% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Schalke 04 23%, draw 25%, RB Leipzig 52%).
