Shakhtar Donetsk
36%
Draw
29%
AEK Athens
35%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 — 1
AEK AthensShakhtar Donetsk wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Shakhtar Donetsk.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Shakhtar Donetsk | Shakhtar Donetsk | 36% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Shakhtar Donetsk | Shakhtar Donetsk | 37% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Shakhtar Donetsk | Shakhtar Donetsk | 36% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Shakhtar Donetsk | XDraw | 2AEK Athens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.75 | 3.53 | 2.83 |
| Kalshi | 2.73 | 3.48 | 2.89 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.79 | 3.47 | 2.83 |
Shakhtar Donetsk win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 1 meetings
Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens
Jul 13, 23
AEK Athens FC
5-0
Shakhtar DonetskFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?
Shakhtar Donetsk won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Shakhtar Donetsk was the favourite at 36% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Shakhtar Donetsk 36%, draw 29%, AEK Athens 35%).
