Sheffield United
42%
Draw
29%
Wrexham
29%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Sheffield United
1 — 0
Sheffield United wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Sheffield United.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United | 42% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Sheffield United | 42% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Sheffield United | Sheffield United | 41% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Sheffield United | XDraw | 2Wrexham |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.36 | 3.41 | 3.53 | |
| 2.37 | 3.52 | 3.40 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.41 | 3.57 | 3.27 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Sheffield United | XDraw | 2Wrexham |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.36 | 3.55 | 3.30 | |
| 2.36 | 3.37 | 2.91 | |
| 2.28 | 3.45 | 3.35 | |
| 2.36 | 3.55 | 3.30 | |
| 2.35 | 3.44 | 3.18 | |
| 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | |
| 2.29 | 3.40 | 2.91 | |
| 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.12 | |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.00 | |
| 2.31 | 3.40 | 2.92 | |
| 2.15 | 3.22 | 2.92 | |
| 2.32 | 3.30 | 3.05 | |
| 2.33 | 3.40 | 3.05 | |
| 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 | |
| 2.33 | 3.31 | 3.07 | |
PMU | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.20 | |
| 2.05 | 3.20 | 2.90 | |
| 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.05 | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.15 | |
| 2.20 | 3.35 | 2.90 | |
| 2.15 | 3.25 | 2.85 | |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 2.41 | 3.57 | 3.27 |
Sheffield United win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 5 meetings
Wrexham
Mar 21, 26
Sheffield Utd
1-2
WrexhamDec 26, 25
Wrexham
5-3
Sheffield UtdAug 13, 24
Sheffield Utd
4-2
WrexhamFeb 7, 23
Sheffield Utd
3-1
WrexhamJan 29, 23
Wrexham
3-3
Sheffield UtdFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Sheffield United vs Wrexham?
Sheffield United won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Sheffield United was the favourite at 42% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Sheffield United 42%, draw 29%, Wrexham 29%).