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Thursday, October 15, 2026

SL Benfica
77%
Draw
14%
Celtic
9%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

SL BenficaSL Benfica
4 — 1
CelticCeltic
SL Benfica wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: SL Benfica.

SourceResult %Verdict
KalshiFavourite: SL Benfica77%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
Platform1X2
Kalshi1.297.2811.34

SL Benfica win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won SL Benfica vs Celtic?

SL Benfica won 4–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

SL Benfica was the favourite at 77% on Kalshi (closing prices: SL Benfica 77%, draw 14%, Celtic 9%).