Southampton
70%
Draw
19%
Derby County
12%
Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Prediction markets vs bookmakers
| Platform | 1Southampton | XDraw | 2Derby County |
|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket | 1.43 | 5.35 | 8.61 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.49 | 5.13 | 7.41 |
Sportsbook Odds17 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Southampton | XDraw | 2Derby County |
|---|---|---|---|
 Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.10 | 7.10 |
 LeoVegas | 1.43 | 5.10 | 7.50 |
 NordicBet | 1.39 | 4.80 | 7.82 |
 Betfair | 1.39 | 4.30 | 7.40 |
 William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
 Marathon | 1.37 | 4.85 | 7.20 |
 888sport | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
 1xBet | 1.38 | 4.85 | 7.19 |
 Betclic | 1.30 | 4.40 | 6.10 |
 Betsson | 1.38 | 4.75 | 7.70 |
PMU | 1.34 | 4.50 | 6.40 |
 Tipico | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.80 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.26 | 4.20 | 5.70 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40 | 4.80 | 7.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.34 | 5.00 | 6.25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30 | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| Fair odds (average of 17, margin removed) | 1.49 | 5.13 | 7.41 |
Southampton win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
League Position
7
Southampton
LDWWD
P
15
GD
+14
Pts
24
23
Derby County
WLLDL
P
15
GD
-16
Pts
10
Season Stats
SouthamptonDerby County
29
Goals Scored
14
15
Goals Conceded
30
1.9
Avg Goals/Game
0.9
3
Clean Sheets
1
2
Failed to Score
5
6W-1D-0L
Home Record
1W-2D-5L
2W-3D-3L
Away Record
1W-2D-4L
4-2-3-1
Formation
4-2-3-1
Head to HeadLast 6 meetings
SouthamptonDerby County
Apr 11, 26
Southampton
2-1
DerbyOct 4, 25
Derby
1-1
SouthamptonJan 16, 19
Southampton
4-4
DerbyJan 5, 19
Derby
2-2
SouthamptonFeb 18, 12
Southampton
4-0
DerbyOct 15, 11
Derby
1-1
SouthamptonInjuries & Suspensions
Southampton
C. Jander
T. Harwood-Bellis
C. Bragg
F. Downes
C. Larin
Derby County
P. Agyemang
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
S. Szmodics
C. Morris
Key Players
Southampton
F. Azaz
Midfielder · 15 apps
3
Goals
5
Assists
C. Larin
Attacker · 11 apps
7
Goals
0
Assists
R. Manning
Defender · 15 apps
1
Goals
3
Assists
J. Bree
Defender · 15 apps
2
Goals
1
Assists
J. Ward-Prowse
Midfielder · 13 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
Derby CountyS. Szmodics
Attacker · 13 apps
3
Goals
1
Assists
C. Morris
Attacker · 11 apps
1
Goals
2
Assists
R. Brewster
Attacker · 12 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
L. Salvesen
Attacker · 13 apps
2
Goals
0
Assists
J. Robinson
Defender · 4 apps
1
Goals
0
Assists
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite for Southampton vs Derby County?
Southampton is the favourite at 70% according to Polymarket: Southampton 70%, draw 19%, Derby County 12%.
What is Southampton's current form?
Southampton's last 5 results: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Draw.
Are there any injuries for Southampton vs Derby County?
Southampton has 6 players injured or doubtful. Derby County has 10 players injured or doubtful.
Where can I bet on Southampton vs Derby County?
On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.
Where is Southampton vs Derby County being played?
At St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.
Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
Southampton
LeoVegas (SE)
1.43
70% implied
Draw
Pinnacle
5.10
20% implied
Derby County
Nordic Bet
7.82
13% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.
