Southampton
47%
Draw
26%
QPR
27%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Southampton
4 — 1
Southampton wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Southampton.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 47% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Southampton | 47% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Southampton | Southampton | 49% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Southampton | XDraw | 2QPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.12 | 3.79 | 3.79 | |
| 2.15 | 3.88 | 3.61 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.04 | 3.99 | 3.84 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Southampton | XDraw | 2QPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.04 | 3.85 | 3.90 | |
| 1.88 | 3.93 | 3.70 | |
| 2.04 | 3.90 | 3.90 | |
| 1.98 | 3.81 | 3.79 | |
| 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.60 | |
| 1.85 | 3.88 | 3.62 | |
| 1.93 | 3.75 | 3.76 | |
| 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.60 | |
| 1.87 | 3.88 | 3.61 | |
| 1.83 | 3.58 | 3.42 | |
| 1.98 | 3.65 | 3.55 | |
| 1.97 | 3.80 | 3.60 | |
| 1.95 | 3.85 | 3.50 | |
| 1.96 | 3.85 | 3.75 | |
| 1.99 | 3.65 | 3.57 | |
PMU | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.70 | |
| 1.77 | 3.55 | 3.40 | |
| 1.88 | 3.55 | 3.45 | |
| 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.60 | |
| 1.88 | 3.70 | 3.35 | |
| 1.86 | 3.65 | 3.30 | |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 2.04 | 3.99 | 3.84 |
Southampton win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
QPR
Oct 31, 26
Southampton
4-1
QPRFeb 24, 26
Southampton
5-0
QPRNov 5, 25
QPR
1-2
SouthamptonDec 23, 23
QPR
0-1
SouthamptonAug 26, 23
Southampton
2-1
QPRFeb 7, 15
QPR
0-1
SouthamptonSep 27, 14
Southampton
2-1
QPRMar 2, 13
Southampton
1-2
QPRLineups
Southampton4-2-3-1
Coach: Tonda Eckert
1Daniel PeretzG
14J. BreeD
5J. StephensD
13K. SchlotterbeckD
3R. ManningD
26Cameron BraggM
30J. Ward-ProwseM
27K. MatsukiM
10F. AzazM
7Léo ScienzaM
11L. DobbinF
QPR4-4-2
Coach: Julien Stéphan
1P. CharlesG
2K. AdamsonD
3J. DunneD
5R. EdwardsD
12B. KemperD
17K. PokuM
40J. VaraneM
18G. KamaraM
20H. ValeM
11P. SmythF
22R. KoneF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Southampton vs QPR?
Southampton won 4–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Southampton was the favourite at 47% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Southampton 47%, draw 26%, QPR 27%).