Sparta Prague
72%
Draw
18%
Lillestrøm
11%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Sparta Prague
1 — 1
LillestrømDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Sparta Prague | Sparta Prague | 18% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Sparta Prague | Sparta Prague | 18% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Sparta Prague | Sparta Prague | 18% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Sparta Prague | XDraw | 2Lillestrøm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.39 | 5.69 | 9.48 |
| Kalshi | 1.40 | 5.61 | 9.18 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.42 | 5.57 | 8.56 |
Sparta Prague win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Sparta Prague vs Lillestrøm?
Sparta Prague vs Lillestrøm ended in a 1–1 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Sparta Prague was the favourite at 72% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Sparta Prague 72%, draw 18%, Lillestrøm 11%).
