Sporting CP
53%
Draw
24%
Galatasaray
23%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Sporting CP
3 — 1
GalatasaraySporting CP wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Sporting CP.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Sporting CP | Sporting CP | 53% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Sporting CP | Sporting CP | 52% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Sporting CP | XDraw | 2Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.87 | 4.21 | 4.39 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.91 | 4.07 | 4.33 |
Sportsbook Odds19 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Sporting CP | XDraw | 2Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betsson | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
 Codere | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
 Coolbet | 1.98 | 3.85 | 3.75 |
 NordicBet | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
 Unibet (NL) | 1.91 | 3.95 | 4.10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91 | 3.95 | 4.10 |
 Pinnacle | 1.91 | 3.72 | 3.87 |
 Betfair | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
 William Hill | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
 Marathon | 1.95 | 3.78 | 3.92 |
 888sport | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.81 | 3.94 |
 Betclic | 1.89 | 3.53 | 3.47 |
 LeoVegas | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.85 |
PMU | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.85 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.92 | 3.65 | 3.40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
Suprabets | 1.86 | 3.56 | 3.70 |
| Fair odds (average of 19, margin removed) | 2.04 | 3.91 | 3.94 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Sporting CP vs Galatasaray?
Sporting CP won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Sporting CP was the favourite at 53% on Kalshi (closing prices: Sporting CP 53%, draw 24%, Galatasaray 23%).
