Sporting CP
74%
Draw
16%
LASK
10%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Sporting CP
2 — 3
LASK wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: LASK.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 10% | ✗ Upset | |
| Sporting CP | 10% | ✗ Upset | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Sporting CP | Sporting CP | 12% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Sporting CP | XDraw | 2LASK |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | 6.49 | 9.57 | |
| 1.35 | 6.31 | 10.10 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.39 | 6.18 | 8.45 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Sporting CP | XDraw | 2LASK |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | 6.20 | 9.80 | |
| 1.37 | 5.94 | 8.35 | |
| 1.34 | 6.30 | 8.50 | |
| 1.34 | 6.20 | 9.80 | |
| 1.32 | 6.00 | 8.76 | |
| 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 | |
| 1.34 | 5.75 | 8.10 | |
| 1.32 | 6.05 | 9.00 | |
| 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 | |
| 1.32 | 5.95 | 8.30 | |
| 1.29 | 5.60 | 8.25 | |
| 1.30 | 6.00 | 8.30 | |
| 1.33 | 6.00 | 7.60 | |
| 1.34 | 5.69 | 7.79 | |
| 1.32 | 5.75 | 7.50 | |
| 1.31 | 6.10 | 8.50 | |
PMU | 1.29 | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| 1.26 | 6.00 | 7.50 | |
| 1.35 | 6.00 | 7.50 | |
| 1.35 | 6.00 | 7.50 | |
| 1.30 | 5.80 | 7.50 | |
| 1.28 | 5.60 | 7.25 | |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.39 | 6.18 | 8.45 |
Sporting CP win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 3 meetings
LASK
Oct 1, 20
Sporting CP
1-4
Lask LinzDec 12, 19
Lask Linz
3-0
Sporting CPOct 3, 19
Sporting CP
2-1
Lask LinzFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Sporting CP vs LASK?
LASK won 3–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Sporting CP was the favourite at 74% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Sporting CP 74%, draw 16%, LASK 10%).