Strasbourg
14%
Draw
17%
PSG
68%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Strasbourg
1 — 3
PSGPSG wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: PSG.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: PSG | PSG | 68% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: PSG | PSG | 69% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: PSG | PSG | 66% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Strasbourg | XDraw | 2PSG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 6.86 | 5.69 | 1.47 |
| Kalshi | 7.14 | 5.88 | 1.45 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 6.37 | 5.44 | 1.52 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Strasbourg | XDraw | 2PSG |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 7.00 | 5.40 | 1.47 |
 1xBet | 5.61 | 5.35 | 1.48 |
 LeoVegas | 6.50 | 5.20 | 1.48 |
 Unibet (SE) | 6.50 | 5.20 | 1.48 |
 Winamax (DE) | 5.50 | 5.40 | 1.43 |
 Pinnacle | 6.19 | 5.36 | 1.46 |
 William Hill | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.44 |
 Marathon | 6.50 | 5.30 | 1.45 |
 888sport | 5.75 | 4.80 | 1.40 |
 Betclic | 5.75 | 5.25 | 1.36 |
 Betsson | 6.20 | 5.05 | 1.42 |
 Codere | 5.80 | 5.20 | 1.46 |
 Coolbet | 6.20 | 5.35 | 1.46 |
 GTbets | 6.09 | 5.32 | 1.41 |
 NordicBet | 6.20 | 5.05 | 1.42 |
PMU | 5.80 | 4.75 | 1.43 |
 Tipico | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.50 | 5.30 | 1.40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.43 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.30 | 5.10 | 1.40 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 6.37 | 5.44 | 1.52 |
Strasbourg win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
StrasbourgPSG
Oct 17, 26
Strasbourg
1-3
Paris Saint GermainFeb 1, 26
Strasbourg
1-2
Paris Saint GermainOct 17, 25
Paris Saint Germain
3-3
StrasbourgMay 3, 25
Strasbourg
2-1
Paris Saint GermainOct 19, 24
Paris Saint Germain
4-2
StrasbourgFeb 2, 24
Strasbourg
1-2
Paris Saint GermainOct 21, 23
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
StrasbourgMay 27, 23
Strasbourg
1-1
Paris Saint GermainLineups
Strasbourg4-2-3-1
Coach: Hugo Oliveira
1F. JörgensenG
16G. AntwiD
4J. MitchellD
31Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD
36OsoD
14Dário EssugoM
21P. DiopM
80Gessime YassineM
10G. ReynaM
19Fabio Amadu Uri BaldéM
40C. HarderF
Paris Saint Germain4-3-3
Coach: Luis Enrique
39M. SafonovG
33W. Zaïre-EmeryD
6I. ZabarnyiD
21L. HernándezD
12L. DigneD
87João NevesM
27Pedro FernándezM
4BeraldoM
11M. AklioucheF
9Ferran TorresF
7K. KvaratskheliaF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Strasbourg vs PSG?
PSG won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
PSG was the favourite at 68% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Strasbourg 14%, draw 17%, PSG 68%).
