Sturm Graz
26%
Draw
26%
Marseille
48%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Sturm Graz
1 — 0
MarseilleSturm Graz wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Sturm Graz.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Marseille | Marseille | 26% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Sturm Graz | XDraw | 2Marseille |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.82 | 3.81 | 2.10 |
Sturm Graz win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Sturm Graz vs Marseille?
Sturm Graz won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Marseille was the favourite at 48% on Kalshi (closing prices: Sturm Graz 26%, draw 26%, Marseille 48%).
