Stuttgart
31%
Draw
25%
Atletico Madrid
44%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Stuttgart
1 — 1
Atletico MadridDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Atletico Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 25% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Atletico Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 25% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Atletico Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 25% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Stuttgart | XDraw | 2Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.26 | 4.06 | 2.24 |
| Kalshi | 3.19 | 4.08 | 2.27 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.34 | 4.04 | 2.21 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Stuttgart | XDraw | 2Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 3.25 | 4.00 | 2.22 |
 1xBet | 3.38 | 4.00 | 2.13 |
 BetAnySports | 3.47 | 3.97 | 2.02 |
 Matchbook | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.24 |
 Unibet (NL) | 3.35 | 4.00 | 2.12 |
 Pinnacle | 3.11 | 3.92 | 2.20 |
 William Hill | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
 Marathon | 3.30 | 3.90 | 2.07 |
 BetOnline | 3.20 | 3.96 | 2.13 |
 888sport | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
 Betclic | 3.20 | 3.80 | 1.95 |
 Betsson | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
 Codere | 3.25 | 3.85 | 2.07 |
 Coolbet | 3.25 | 3.95 | 2.16 |
 GTbets | 3.22 | 3.73 | 2.11 |
 LeoVegas | 3.05 | 3.75 | 2.12 |
 NordicBet | 3.15 | 3.85 | 2.18 |
PMU | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10 | 3.70 | 1.97 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20 | 3.95 | 2.18 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 3.34 | 4.04 | 2.21 |
Stuttgart win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid ended in a 1–1 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Atletico Madrid was the favourite at 44% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Stuttgart 31%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 44%).
