Sunderland
13%
Draw
22%
Arsenal
66%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Sunderland
0 — 2
ArsenalArsenal wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Arsenal.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 66% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 65% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Sunderland | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 7.84 | 4.64 | 1.52 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 7.69 | 4.49 | 1.55 |
Sportsbook Odds12 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Sunderland | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 6.91 | 4.17 | 1.59 |
 Tipico | 7.80 | 4.00 | 1.47 |
 Pinnacle | 6.28 | 4.07 | 1.53 |
 Betfair | 7.40 | 4.10 | 1.52 |
 William Hill | 6.00 | 3.80 | 1.55 |
 Marathon | 6.80 | 4.10 | 1.56 |
 MyBookie | 6.10 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
 888sport | 6.00 | 3.80 | 1.53 |
 Betclic | 6.00 | 3.95 | 1.47 |
 Unibet (FR) | 5.80 | 3.80 | 1.44 |
 Winamax (DE) | 5.80 | 4.10 | 1.49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.30 | 3.80 | 1.42 |
| Fair odds (average of 12, margin removed) | 6.77 | 4.27 | 1.62 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 2–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Arsenal was the favourite at 66% on Kalshi (closing prices: Sunderland 13%, draw 22%, Arsenal 66%).
