Sunderland
31%
Draw
29%
Brighton
40%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Sunderland
0 — 2
BrightonBrighton wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Brighton.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Brighton | Brighton | 41% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Brighton | Brighton | 40% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Brighton | Brighton | 42% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Sunderland | XDraw | 2Brighton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.26 | 3.49 | 2.46 |
| Kalshi | 3.19 | 3.52 | 2.49 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.24 | 3.62 | 2.41 |
Sunderland win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 4 meetings
SunderlandBrighton
Oct 10, 26
Sunderland
0-2
BrightonMar 14, 26
Sunderland
0-1
BrightonDec 20, 25
Brighton
0-0
SunderlandAug 23, 11
Brighton
1-0
SunderlandLineups
Sunderland4-2-3-1
Coach: R. Le Bris
22R. RoefsG
32T. HumeD
20N. MukieleD
4K. DansoD
17ReinildoD
34G. XhakaM
27N. SadikiM
12T. MeunierM
28E. Le FéeM
10N. AnguloM
18W. IsidorF
Brighton4-2-3-1
Coach: F. Hürzeler
1B. VerbruggenG
24F. KadıoğluD
44L. VuškovićD
4P. StruijkD
21O. BoscagliD
14José María Andrés BaixauliM
13P. GroßM
25D. GómezM
26Y. AyariM
29M. De CuyperM
19C. KostoulasF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Sunderland vs Brighton?
Brighton won 2–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Brighton was the favourite at 40% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Sunderland 31%, draw 29%, Brighton 40%).
