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Thursday, October 15, 2026

Torreense
11%
Draw
18%
Sunderland
71%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

TorreenseTorreense
1 — 2
SunderlandSunderland
Sunderland wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Sunderland.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Sunderland72%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Sunderland71%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Sunderland69%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket9.385.631.40
Kalshi8.465.801.41
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)8.055.431.45

Torreense win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Torreense vs Sunderland?

Sunderland won 2–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Sunderland was the favourite at 71% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Torreense 11%, draw 18%, Sunderland 71%).