Tottenham
48%
Draw
27%
Aston Villa
26%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Tottenham
2 — 3
Aston VillaAston Villa wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Aston Villa.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Tottenham | Tottenham | 26% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Tottenham | Tottenham | 26% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Tottenham | XDraw | 2Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.10 | 3.74 | 3.89 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.11 | 3.78 | 3.82 |
Sportsbook Odds12 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Tottenham | XDraw | 2Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.49 | 3.21 |
 Codere | 2.25 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
 William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
 Marathon | 2.36 | 3.44 | 3.16 |
 MyBookie | 2.20 | 3.28 | 3.12 |
 888sport | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
 Betclic | 2.13 | 3.23 | 3.10 |
 Tipico | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
 Unibet (FR) | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 2.85 |
| Fair odds (average of 12, margin removed) | 2.39 | 3.58 | 3.31 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa won 3–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Tottenham was the favourite at 48% on Kalshi (closing prices: Tottenham 48%, draw 27%, Aston Villa 26%).
