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Saturday, October 24, 2026

Toulouse
63%
Draw
22%
Troyes
15%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

ToulouseToulouse
0 — 0
TroyesTroyes
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Toulouse21%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Toulouse22%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Toulouse21%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.584.676.49
Kalshi1.594.556.67
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.604.676.17
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.574.706.40
BetOnline
1.534.476.40
1xBet
1.574.626.16
Pinnacle
1.554.496.16
William Hill
1.504.205.50
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)1.604.676.17

Toulouse win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Geoffrey Kubler
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Toulouse
Troyes
Feb 1, 23
Toulouse
4-1
Estac Troyes
Aug 14, 22
Estac Troyes
0-3
Toulouse
Jul 9, 22
Toulouse
6-1
Estac Troyes
Feb 6, 21
Estac Troyes
1-1
Toulouse
Oct 3, 20
Toulouse
0-0
Estac Troyes
Jan 27, 18
Toulouse
1-0
Estac Troyes
Sep 9, 17
Estac Troyes
0-0
Toulouse
May 7, 16
Toulouse
1-0
Estac Troyes
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Toulouse vs Troyes?

Toulouse vs Troyes ended in a 0–0 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Toulouse was the favourite at 63% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Toulouse 63%, draw 22%, Troyes 15%).