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Saturday, October 31, 2026

Troyes
43%
Draw
29%
Le Mans
29%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

TroyesTroyes
2 — 0
Le MansLe Mans
Troyes wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Troyes.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Troyes43%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Troyes43%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Troyes43%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.343.493.49
Kalshi2.353.483.48
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.303.543.53
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.283.503.55
1xBet
2.243.503.54
Pinnacle
2.223.433.52
William Hill
2.153.203.30
Marathon
2.183.403.44
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)2.303.543.53

Troyes win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Azzedine Souifi
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Troyes
Le Mans
Jan 31, 26
Estac Troyes
0-2
Le Mans
Oct 3, 25
Le Mans
2-2
Estac Troyes
Mar 13, 20
Le Mans
?-?
Estac Troyes
Oct 18, 19
Estac Troyes
2-1
Le Mans
Feb 24, 12
Estac Troyes
2-1
Le Mans
Sep 26, 11
Le Mans
1-1
Estac Troyes
May 10, 11
Estac Troyes
0-1
Le Mans
Dec 6, 10
Le Mans
1-0
Estac Troyes
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Troyes vs Le Mans?

Troyes won 2–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Troyes was the favourite at 43% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Troyes 43%, draw 29%, Le Mans 29%).