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Troyes vs Lens

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Troyes

22%

Draw

25%

Lens

54%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Troyes

1 — 3

Lens

Lens wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lens.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Lens	Lens	53%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Lens	Lens	54%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lens	Lens	52%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Troyes	XDraw	2Lens
Polymarket	4.58	4.02	1.88
Kalshi	4.68	4.02	1.86
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	4.29	4.04	1.93

Sportsbook Odds21 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Troyes	XDraw	2Lens
Betfair	4.50	4.00	1.87
GTbets	4.05	3.95	1.93
Pinnacle	4.18	3.88	1.88
William Hill	3.90	3.60	1.83
Marathon	4.15	3.84	1.85
BetOnline	4.27	3.90	1.83
888sport	3.90	3.60	1.83
1xBet	4.25	3.94	1.90
Betclic	3.95	3.88	1.78
Betsson	4.15	3.80	1.80
Codere	4.10	3.85	1.82
Coolbet	4.15	3.90	1.87
LeoVegas	4.10	3.95	1.88
NordicBet	4.15	3.80	1.80
PMU	3.85	3.70	1.82
Tipico	4.30	3.90	1.72
Unibet (FR)	3.90	3.70	1.75
Unibet (NL)	3.90	3.75	1.82
Unibet (SE)	4.10	3.95	1.88
Winamax (DE)	3.95	3.95	1.78
Winamax (FR)	3.80	3.80	1.76
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)	4.29	4.04	1.93