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Sunday, October 25, 2026

Udinese
20%
Draw
27%
AC Milan
53%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

UdineseUdinese
0 — 2
AC MilanAC Milan
AC Milan wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: AC Milan.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: AC Milan53%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: AC Milan52%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: AC Milan53%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket4.853.751.90
Kalshi4.903.681.91
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)4.843.831.88
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
5.003.751.85
1xBet
4.623.831.86
Matchbook
5.003.751.86
Pinnacle
4.953.611.81
William Hill
4.333.401.75
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)4.843.831.88

Udinese win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Matteo Marcenaro
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Udinese
AC Milan
Apr 11, 26
AC Milan
0-3
Udinese
Sep 20, 25
Udinese
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 11, 25
Udinese
0-4
AC Milan
Oct 19, 24
AC Milan
1-0
Udinese
Jan 20, 24
Udinese
2-3
AC Milan
Nov 4, 23
AC Milan
0-1
Udinese
Mar 18, 23
Udinese
3-1
AC Milan
Aug 13, 22
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Udinese vs AC Milan?

AC Milan won 2–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

AC Milan was the favourite at 53% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Udinese 20%, draw 27%, AC Milan 53%).