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Sunday, October 18, 2026

Udinese
53%
Draw
28%
Lecce
20%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

UdineseUdinese
0 — 3
LecceLecce
Lecce wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lecce.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Udinese19%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Udinese20%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Udinese21%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.883.655.15
Kalshi1.913.615.05
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.923.704.78

Udinese win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Marco Guida
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Udinese
Lecce
Oct 18, 26
Udinese
0-3
Lecce
Feb 8, 26
Lecce
2-1
Udinese
Oct 25, 25
Udinese
3-2
Lecce
Feb 21, 25
Lecce
0-1
Udinese
Oct 5, 24
Udinese
1-0
Lecce
May 13, 24
Lecce
0-2
Udinese
Oct 23, 23
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Apr 28, 23
Lecce
1-0
Udinese
Lineups
Udinese3-4-2-1
Coach: K. Runjaic
40M. OkoyeG
28O. SoletD
5D. AlabaD
77E. EbosseD
23M. VojvodaM
8J. KarlströmM
6Oier ZarragaM
11H. KamaraM
32J. EkkelenkampM
30G. ChakvetadzeM
9K. DavisF
Lecce4-3-3
Coach: E. Di Francesco
30W. FalconeG
17Danilo VeigaD
4Kialonda GasparD
44Tiago GabrielD
25A. GalloD
29L. CoulibalyM
79O. NgomM
14Y. MalehM
11K. N’DriF
69W. GeubbelsF
7A. Ahmed FatahF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Udinese vs Lecce?

Lecce won 3–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Udinese was the favourite at 53% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Udinese 53%, draw 28%, Lecce 20%).