Union Berlin
16%
Draw
21%
Borussia Dortmund
63%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Union Berlin
0 — 0
Borussia DortmundDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Borussia Dortmund | Borussia Dortmund | 21% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Borussia Dortmund | Borussia Dortmund | 21% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Borussia Dortmund | Borussia Dortmund | 21% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Union Berlin | XDraw | 2Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 6.42 | 4.85 | 1.57 |
| Kalshi | 6.44 | 4.68 | 1.58 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 5.83 | 4.71 | 1.62 |
Union Berlin win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund
Oct 17, 26
Union Berlin
0-0
Borussia DortmundJan 24, 26
Union Berlin
0-3
Borussia DortmundAug 31, 25
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
Union BerlinFeb 22, 25
Borussia Dortmund
6-0
Union BerlinOct 5, 24
Union Berlin
2-1
Borussia DortmundMar 2, 24
Union Berlin
0-2
Borussia DortmundOct 7, 23
Borussia Dortmund
4-2
Union BerlinApr 8, 23
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
Union BerlinLineups
Union Berlin4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Lustrinelli
1F. RønnowG
19J. HabererD
4Z. Van Den BoschD
2F. UduokhaiD
15T. RotheD
20M. AebischerM
13A. SchäferM
8R. KhediraM
11Jeong Woo-YeongF
30K. ImeriM
21T. SkarkeF
Borussia Dortmund3-4-2-1
Coach: N. Kovač
1G. KobelG
22Kouakou Joane GadouD
3W. AntonD
4N. SchlotterbeckD
26J. RyersonM
7J. BellinghamM
8F. NmechaM
24D. SvenssonM
18E. NwaneriM
14M. BeierM
9S. GuirassyF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund ended in a 0–0 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Borussia Dortmund was the favourite at 63% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Union Berlin 16%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 63%).
