Union Saint-Gilloise
71%
Draw
17%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
12%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Union Saint-Gilloise
4 — 0
Hapoel Be'er ShevaUnion Saint-Gilloise wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Union Saint-Gilloise.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Union Saint-Gilloise | Union Saint-Gilloise | 71% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Union Saint-Gilloise | Union Saint-Gilloise | 71% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Union Saint-Gilloise | Union Saint-Gilloise | 71% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Union Saint-Gilloise | XDraw | 2Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.41 | 5.74 | 8.74 |
| Kalshi | 1.40 | 5.94 | 8.42 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.42 | 5.66 | 8.55 |
Union Saint-Gilloise win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
Union Saint-Gilloise won 4–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Union Saint-Gilloise was the favourite at 71% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Union Saint-Gilloise 71%, draw 17%, Hapoel Be'er Sheva 12%).
