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Sassuolo

Sassuolo vs AC Milan

AC Milan

Sunday, October 11, 2026

Sassuolo
24%
Draw
27%
AC Milan
49%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

SassuoloSassuolo
1 — 1
AC MilanAC Milan
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: AC Milan27%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: AC Milan27%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: AC Milan26%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket4.283.652.03
Kalshi4.213.742.02
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)4.303.871.96

Sassuolo win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Matchday 6
Francesco Fourneau
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Oct 11, 26
Sassuolo
1-1
AC Milan
May 3, 26
Sassuolo
2-0
AC Milan
Dec 14, 25
AC Milan
2-2
Sassuolo
Dec 3, 24
AC Milan
6-1
Sassuolo
Apr 14, 24
Sassuolo
3-3
AC Milan
Dec 30, 23
AC Milan
1-0
Sassuolo
Jan 29, 23
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Aug 30, 22
Sassuolo
0-0
AC Milan
Lineups
Sassuolo4-3-3
Coach: A. Aquilani
49A. MurićG
20I. Van der BremptD
15D. Ćaleta-CarD
16F. LeysenD
3J. DoigD
17Vasilije AdžićM
18N. MatićM
50D. BakolaM
10D. BerardiF
94S. EspositoF
45A. LaurientéF
AC Milan4-4-1-1
Coach: Ruben Amorim
16M. MaignanG
34Mario GilaD
46M. GabbiaD
31S. PavlovićD
2P. EstupiñánD
21S. ChukwuezeM
80Y. MusahM
12A. RabiotM
22Diego MoreiraM
11C. PulišićM
9Gonçalo RamosF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

Sassuolo vs AC Milan ended in a 1–1 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

AC Milan was the favourite at 49% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Sassuolo 24%, draw 27%, AC Milan 49%).