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Saturday, October 17, 2026

Venezia
20%
Draw
25%
Napoli
54%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

VeneziaVenezia
1 — 0
NapoliNapoli
Venezia wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Venezia.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Napoli21%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Napoli20%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Napoli21%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket4.853.901.86
Kalshi4.953.961.83
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)4.764.131.83

Venezia win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice
Juan Luca Sacchi
Head to HeadLast 5 meetings
Venezia
Napoli
Oct 17, 26
Venezia
1-0
Napoli
Mar 16, 25
Venezia
0-0
Napoli
Dec 29, 24
Napoli
1-0
Venezia
Feb 6, 22
Venezia
0-2
Napoli
Aug 22, 21
Napoli
2-0
Venezia
Lineups
Venezia3-5-2
Coach: D. Nicola
1F. StankovićG
25R. HalhalD
2M. MorenoD
15Juan JesusD
18A. HainautM
71Kike PérezM
19S. SohmM
26T. BašićM
5R. HapsM
10J. YeboahF
45A. AdamsF
Napoli3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Allegri
1A. MeretG
31S. BeukemaD
13Amir RrahmaniD
5B. BadiashileD
22G. Di LorenzoM
6B. GilmourM
68S. LobotkaM
37L. SpinazzolaM
23GiovaneM
8S. McTominayM
20L. LuccaF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Venezia vs Napoli?

Venezia won 1–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Napoli was the favourite at 54% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Venezia 20%, draw 25%, Napoli 54%).