Viking
6%
Draw
9%
Bayern Munich
85%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Viking
3 — 3
Bayern MunichDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Bayern Munich | Bayern Munich | 8% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Bayern Munich | Bayern Munich | 9% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Bayern Munich | Bayern Munich | 10% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Viking | XDraw | 2Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 16.53 | 11.78 | 1.17 |
| Kalshi | 17.01 | 11.33 | 1.17 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 15.60 | 10.36 | 1.19 |
Viking win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Viking vs Bayern Munich?
Viking vs Bayern Munich ended in a 3–3 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Bayern Munich was the favourite at 85% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Viking 6%, draw 9%, Bayern Munich 85%).
