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Villarreal vs Napoli

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Villarreal

44%

Draw

27%

Napoli

29%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Villarreal

3 — 1

Napoli

Villarreal wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Villarreal.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Villarreal	Villarreal	44%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Villarreal	Villarreal	45%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Villarreal	Villarreal	44%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Villarreal	XDraw	2Napoli
Polymarket	2.26	3.65	3.53
Kalshi	2.24	3.74	3.48
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.25	3.73	3.47

Sportsbook Odds22 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Villarreal	XDraw	2Napoli
Betfair	2.24	3.65	3.50
1xBet	2.19	3.68	3.50
BetAnySports	2.25	3.51	3.21
Matchbook	2.24	3.65	3.50
Winamax (DE)	2.10	3.70	3.15
Pinnacle	2.17	3.62	3.43
William Hill	2.05	3.40	3.20
Marathon	2.15	3.62	3.44
BetOnline	2.20	3.60	3.30
888sport	2.05	3.40	3.20
Betclic	2.10	3.53	3.22
Betsson	2.12	3.50	3.35
Codere	2.16	3.55	3.25
Coolbet	2.20	3.60	3.45
GTbets	2.09	3.68	3.33
LeoVegas	2.07	3.45	3.40
NordicBet	2.15	3.55	3.40
PMU	2.10	3.30	3.10
Unibet (FR)	2.05	3.50	3.20
Unibet (NL)	2.23	3.60	3.35
Unibet (SE)	2.23	3.60	3.35
Winamax (FR)	2.05	3.60	3.05
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)	2.25	3.73	3.47