Werder Bremen
56%
Draw
22%
Paderborn
22%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Werder Bremen
2 — 2
PaderbornDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Werder Bremen | Werder Bremen | 23% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Werder Bremen | Werder Bremen | 22% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Werder Bremen | Werder Bremen | 23% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Werder Bremen | XDraw | 2Paderborn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.79 | 4.42 | 4.63 |
| Kalshi | 1.78 | 4.51 | 4.61 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.84 | 4.35 | 4.43 |
Werder Bremen win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Werder BremenPaderborn
Oct 17, 26
Werder Bremen
2-2
SC Paderborn 07Aug 8, 26
Werder Bremen
2-2
SC Paderborn 07Oct 30, 24
SC Paderborn 07
0-1
Werder BremenOct 19, 22
SC Paderborn 07
2-2
Werder BremenJan 22, 22
SC Paderborn 07
3-4
Werder BremenAug 15, 21
Werder Bremen
1-4
SC Paderborn 07Jun 13, 20
SC Paderborn 07
1-5
Werder BremenDec 8, 19
Werder Bremen
0-1
SC Paderborn 07Lineups
Werder Bremen4-2-3-1
Coach: D. Thioune
1K. HeinG
13ArthurD
5A. PieperD
32M. FriedlD
2O. DemanD
15L. ReisM
44Y. RegeerM
18E. DinkçiM
20Chuky San JoséM
17M. GrüllM
10N. FüllkrugF
SC Paderborn 073-1-4-2
Coach: R. Kettemann
15N. NollG
21J. ter HorstD
25T. SchellerD
22M. HansenD
5S. CastañedaM
17L. CurdaM
28L. UlrichM
40G. VidovićM
23R. ObermairM
30S. MarinoF
27S. TiggesF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn ended in a 2–2 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Werder Bremen was the favourite at 56% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Werder Bremen 56%, draw 22%, Paderborn 22%).
