Wolves
62%
Draw
21%
Cardiff City
17%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Wolves
3 — 0
Wolves wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Wolves.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 61% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Wolves | 62% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Wolves | Wolves | 60% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Wolves | XDraw | 2Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | 4.63 | 5.69 | |
| 1.60 | 4.81 | 5.94 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.67 | 4.68 | 5.29 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Wolves | XDraw | 2Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | 4.70 | 5.50 | |
| 1.65 | 4.40 | 4.90 | |
| 1.62 | 4.70 | 5.60 | |
| 1.59 | 4.60 | 5.35 | |
| 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 | |
| 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.00 | |
| 1.61 | 4.33 | 5.10 | |
| 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.00 | |
| 1.60 | 4.35 | 4.64 | |
| 1.48 | 4.30 | 4.70 | |
| 1.55 | 4.30 | 5.35 | |
| 1.58 | 4.60 | 5.00 | |
| 1.56 | 4.50 | 5.00 | |
| 1.60 | 4.31 | 4.68 | |
| 1.56 | 4.32 | 5.38 | |
PMU | 1.55 | 3.95 | 4.35 |
| 1.47 | 4.40 | 5.20 | |
| 1.45 | 4.25 | 4.65 | |
| 1.57 | 4.10 | 4.50 | |
| 1.61 | 4.20 | 4.70 | |
| 1.52 | 4.50 | 4.60 | |
| 1.50 | 4.30 | 4.50 | |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.67 | 4.68 | 5.29 |
Wolves win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Cardiff City
Oct 31, 26
Wolves
3-0
CardiffMar 2, 19
Wolves
2-0
CardiffNov 30, 18
Cardiff
2-1
WolvesApr 6, 18
Cardiff
0-1
WolvesAug 19, 17
Wolves
1-2
CardiffApr 1, 17
Wolves
3-1
CardiffDec 13, 16
Cardiff
2-1
WolvesJan 16, 16
Wolves
1-3
CardiffLineups
Wolves4-2-3-1
Coach: César Peixoto
1José SáG
2K. TrippierD
15Y. MosqueraD
37L. KrejčíD
3Hugo BuenoD
7AndréM
5M. MunetsiM
28Fer LópezM
8J. JamesM
19R. SaïdM
10A. ArmstrongF
Cardiff4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Barry-Murphy
1N. TrottG
38P. NgD
2W. FishD
3J. BaganD
23C. ScanlonD
27J. ColwillM
18A. RobertsonM
11O. TannerM
8J. MoylanM
16C. WillockM
9Y. SalechF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Wolves vs Cardiff City?
Wolves won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Wolves was the favourite at 62% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Wolves 62%, draw 21%, Cardiff City 17%).