Alavés
1 — 1
MálagaDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Alavés | Alavés | 26% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Alavés | Alavés | 26% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Alavés | Alavés | 25% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Alavés | XDraw | 2Málaga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.67 | 3.90 | 6.86 |
| Kalshi | 1.66 | 3.89 | 7.22 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.69 | 3.98 | 6.38 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Alavés | XDraw | 2Málaga |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.66 | 3.95 | 6.60 |
 BetOnline | 1.59 | 3.90 | 6.60 |
 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.90 | 5.99 |
 Matchbook | 1.66 | 3.90 | 6.60 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.56 | 3.95 | 5.70 |
 Pinnacle | 1.61 | 3.87 | 6.50 |
 William Hill | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.80 |
 Marathon | 1.66 | 3.84 | 5.90 |
 Betclic | 1.54 | 3.73 | 5.90 |
 Betsson | 1.58 | 3.75 | 6.30 |
 Codere | 1.59 | 3.85 | 6.20 |
 Coolbet | 1.63 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
 LeoVegas | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.75 |
 NordicBet | 1.58 | 3.75 | 6.20 |
PMU | 1.56 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
 Tipico | 1.57 | 3.80 | 6.20 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.53 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63 | 3.85 | 6.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65 | 3.85 | 6.00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52 | 3.75 | 5.40 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 1.69 | 3.98 | 6.38 |
Alavés win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 6 meetings
AlavésMálaga
May 20, 23
Alaves
2-1
MalagaDec 18, 22
Malaga
1-0
AlavesMay 6, 18
Malaga
0-3
AlavesDec 21, 17
Alaves
1-0
MalagaMar 11, 17
Malaga
1-2
AlavesOct 16, 16
Alaves
1-1
MalagaFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Alavés vs Málaga?
Alavés vs Málaga ended in a 1–1 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Alavés was the favourite at 60% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Alavés 60%, draw 26%, Málaga 14%).
