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Sunday, October 25, 2026

Athletic Bilbao
63%
Draw
24%
Getafe
14%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Athletic BilbaoAthletic Bilbao
4 — 0
GetafeGetafe
Athletic Bilbao wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Athletic Bilbao.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Athletic Bilbao63%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Athletic Bilbao62%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Athletic Bilbao62%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.594.237.37
Kalshi1.604.217.22
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.624.236.77
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.604.207.20
1xBet
1.604.216.47
Matchbook
1.604.207.20
Pinnacle
1.574.026.76
William Hill
1.553.806.00
Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed)1.624.236.77

Athletic Bilbao win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao
Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Athletic Bilbao
Getafe
Oct 25, 26
Athletic Club
4-0
Getafe
Apr 5, 26
Getafe
2-0
Athletic Club
Oct 25, 25
Athletic Club
0-1
Getafe
May 15, 25
Getafe
0-2
Athletic Club
Aug 15, 24
Athletic Club
1-1
Getafe
May 3, 24
Getafe
0-2
Athletic Club
Sep 27, 23
Athletic Club
2-2
Getafe
Apr 1, 23
Athletic Club
0-0
Getafe
Lineups
Athletic Club4-2-3-1
Coach: E. Terzić
1Unai SimónG
15Hugo RincónD
3Dani VivianD
4Aitor ParedesD
17YuriD
16Ruíz de GalarretaM
28Peio CanalesM
9I. WilliamsM
7Álex BerenguerM
10Nico WilliamsM
21Maroan SannadiF
Getafe5-4-1
Coach: Pepe Bordalás
13David SoriaG
17Kiko FemeníaD
14Daniel CarvajalD
8N. GudeljD
26J. ValouD
22J. MojicaD
11Ramón TerratsM
16Francho SerranoM
6Mario MartínM
10M. SatrianoM
20Iván AzónF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe?

Athletic Bilbao won 4–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Athletic Bilbao was the favourite at 63% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Athletic Bilbao 63%, draw 24%, Getafe 14%).