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Saturday, October 31, 2026

Barcelona
89%
Draw
7%
Alavés
4%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

BarcelonaBarcelona
6 — 1
AlavésAlavés
Barcelona wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Barcelona.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Barcelona90%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Barcelona89%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Barcelona86%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.1115.3127.32
Kalshi1.1214.4325.25
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.1611.2520.70
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.1312.5026.00
1xBet
1.1311.2022.00
Matchbook
1.1312.5026.00
Pinnacle
1.1111.0721.51
William Hill
1.119.5019.00
Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed)1.1611.2520.72

Barcelona win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona
Adrian Cordero Vega
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Barcelona
Alavés
May 13, 26
Alaves
1-0
Barcelona
Nov 29, 25
Barcelona
3-1
Alaves
Feb 2, 25
Barcelona
1-0
Alaves
Oct 6, 24
Alaves
0-3
Barcelona
Feb 3, 24
Alaves
1-3
Barcelona
Nov 12, 23
Barcelona
2-1
Alaves
Jan 23, 22
Alaves
0-1
Barcelona
Oct 30, 21
Barcelona
1-1
Alaves
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Barcelona vs Alavés?

Barcelona won 6–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Barcelona was the favourite at 89% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Barcelona 89%, draw 7%, Alavés 4%).