Celta Vigo
43%
Draw
31%
Alavés
26%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Celta Vigo
2 — 1
AlavésCelta Vigo wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Celta Vigo.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Celta Vigo | Celta Vigo | 43% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Celta Vigo | Celta Vigo | 43% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Celta Vigo | Celta Vigo | 42% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Celta Vigo | XDraw | 2Alavés |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.34 | 3.26 | 3.76 |
| Kalshi | 2.34 | 3.22 | 3.82 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.37 | 3.29 | 3.65 |
Celta Vigo win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Celta VigoAlavés
Oct 18, 26
Celta Vigo
2-1
AlavesMar 22, 26
Celta Vigo
3-4
AlavesNov 22, 25
Alaves
0-1
Celta VigoJan 27, 25
Alaves
1-1
Celta VigoAug 16, 24
Celta Vigo
2-1
AlavesApr 27, 24
Alaves
3-0
Celta VigoSep 28, 23
Celta Vigo
1-1
AlavesMay 7, 22
Celta Vigo
4-0
AlavesLineups
Celta Vigo3-4-3
Coach: Claudio Giráldez
13I. RaduG
20Javi RodríguezD
18Yoel LagoD
21S. CáceresD
5Sergio CarreiraM
30H. BurcioM
6I. MoribaM
23Hugo ÁlvarezM
24C. DriouechF
9Ferran JutglàF
19W. SwedbergF
Alaves5-3-2
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
1SiveraG
14N. TenagliaD
17JonnyD
16V. KoskiD
2N. ValentiniD
21A. RebbachD
19Pablo IbáñezM
8Antonio BlancoM
10Carles AleñáM
11Toni MartínezF
15L. BoyéF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Celta Vigo vs Alavés?
Celta Vigo won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Celta Vigo was the favourite at 43% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Celta Vigo 43%, draw 31%, Alavés 26%).
