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Sunday, October 11, 2026

Elche
31%
Draw
29%
Celta Vigo
39%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

ElcheElche
0 — 0
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Celta Vigo29%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Celta Vigo29%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Celta Vigo29%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket3.193.412.54
Kalshi3.193.402.55
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)3.073.402.63

Elche win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Javier Alberola Rojas
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Elche
Celta Vigo
Oct 11, 26
Elche
0-0
Celta Vigo
May 3, 26
Celta Vigo
3-1
Elche
Sep 28, 25
Elche
2-1
Celta Vigo
Apr 26, 23
Celta Vigo
1-0
Elche
Jan 6, 23
Elche
0-1
Celta Vigo
May 15, 22
Celta Vigo
1-0
Elche
Oct 3, 21
Elche
1-0
Celta Vigo
Feb 12, 21
Celta Vigo
3-1
Elche
Lineups
Elche5-3-2
Coach: M. Anselmi
1M. DituroG
22Rubén SánchezD
47J. MorcilloD
23Víctor ChustD
3R. RevivoD
11Germán ValeraD
12Gonzalo VillarM
8Marc AguadoM
18T. LemarM
20Tete MorenteF
14Fer NiñoF
Celta Vigo3-4-3
Coach: Claudio Giráldez
13I. RaduG
15Álvaro NúñezD
18Yoel LagoD
3Marcos AlonsoD
17Javi RuedaM
6I. MoribaM
14Aleix FebasM
22Javi GalánM
9Ferran JutglàF
11Pablo DuránF
23Hugo ÁlvarezF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Elche vs Celta Vigo?

Elche vs Celta Vigo ended in a 0–0 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Celta Vigo was the favourite at 39% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Elche 31%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 39%).