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Sunday, November 1, 2026

Elche
41%
Draw
29%
Valencia
30%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

ElcheElche
0 — 1
ValenciaValencia
Valencia wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Valencia.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Elche30%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Elche30%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Elche31%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.483.413.29
Kalshi2.443.453.33
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.453.513.26
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.423.453.35
1xBet
2.483.503.07
Matchbook
2.423.453.35
Unibet (NL)
2.383.503.10
Unibet (SE)
2.403.503.10
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)2.453.513.26

Elche win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Luis Bestard Servera
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Elche
Valencia
Apr 11, 26
Elche
1-0
Valencia
Jan 10, 26
Valencia
1-1
Elche
Apr 23, 23
Elche
0-2
Valencia
Oct 15, 22
Valencia
2-2
Elche
Mar 19, 22
Elche
0-1
Valencia
Dec 11, 21
Valencia
2-1
Elche
Jan 30, 21
Valencia
1-0
Elche
Oct 23, 20
Elche
2-1
Valencia
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Elche vs Valencia?

Valencia won 1–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Elche was the favourite at 41% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Elche 41%, draw 29%, Valencia 30%).