Elche
0 — 1
Valencia wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Valencia.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 30% | ✗ Upset | |
| Elche | 30% | ✗ Upset | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Elche | Elche | 31% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Elche | XDraw | 2Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.48 | 3.41 | 3.29 | |
| 2.44 | 3.45 | 3.33 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.45 | 3.51 | 3.26 |
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Elche | XDraw | 2Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.42 | 3.45 | 3.35 | |
| 2.48 | 3.50 | 3.07 | |
| 2.42 | 3.45 | 3.35 | |
| 2.38 | 3.50 | 3.10 | |
| 2.40 | 3.50 | 3.10 | |
| 2.39 | 3.33 | 3.27 | |
| 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | |
| 2.41 | 3.40 | 2.99 | |
| 2.36 | 3.33 | 3.22 | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 | |
| 2.32 | 3.30 | 3.10 | |
| 2.34 | 3.35 | 3.10 | |
| 2.40 | 3.35 | 3.17 | |
| 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.20 | |
| 2.28 | 3.25 | 2.90 | |
| 2.32 | 3.30 | 3.10 | |
PMU | 2.23 | 3.20 | 2.85 |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.30 | |
| 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.00 | |
| 2.25 | 3.35 | 2.95 | |
| 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.90 | |
| Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed) | 2.45 | 3.51 | 3.26 |
Elche win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Valencia
Apr 11, 26
Elche
1-0
ValenciaJan 10, 26
Valencia
1-1
ElcheApr 23, 23
Elche
0-2
ValenciaOct 15, 22
Valencia
2-2
ElcheMar 19, 22
Elche
0-1
ValenciaDec 11, 21
Valencia
2-1
ElcheJan 30, 21
Valencia
1-0
ElcheOct 23, 20
Elche
2-1
ValenciaFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Elche vs Valencia?
Valencia won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Elche was the favourite at 41% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Elche 41%, draw 29%, Valencia 30%).