Espanyol
18%
Draw
24%
Atletico Madrid
58%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Espanyol
0 — 1
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Atletico Madrid.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Atletico Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Atletico Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Atletico Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 57% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Espanyol | XDraw | 2Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 5.69 | 4.06 | 1.73 |
| Kalshi | 5.61 | 4.21 | 1.71 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 5.18 | 4.23 | 1.75 |
Espanyol win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
EspanyolAtletico Madrid
Oct 17, 26
Espanyol
0-1
Atletico MadridFeb 21, 26
Atletico Madrid
4-2
EspanyolAug 17, 25
Espanyol
2-1
Atletico MadridMar 29, 25
Espanyol
1-1
Atletico MadridAug 28, 24
Atletico Madrid
0-0
EspanyolMay 24, 23
Espanyol
3-3
Atletico MadridNov 6, 22
Atletico Madrid
1-1
EspanyolApr 17, 22
Atletico Madrid
2-1
EspanyolLineups
Espanyol5-4-1
Coach: Manolo González
1Ángel FortuñoG
23O. El HilaliD
16V. DrkušićD
5C. RiedelD
6L. CabreraD
21Roger HinojoD
28Javier HernandezM
8Edu ExpósitoM
10Pol LozanoM
15Bryan ZaragozaM
9Roberto FernándezF
Atletico Madrid4-3-1-2
Coach: D. Simeone
13J. OblakG
18Marc PubillD
21C. RomeroD
17D. HanckoD
30Dani MartÃnezD
20G. SimeoneM
8Pablo BarriosM
23M. HjulmandM
7Lee Kang-InM
15J. DavidF
11A. LookmanF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Atletico Madrid was the favourite at 58% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Espanyol 18%, draw 24%, Atletico Madrid 58%).
