Levante
15%
Draw
20%
Atletico Madrid
65%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Levante
0 — 2
Atletico Madrid wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Atletico Madrid.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 66% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Atletico Madrid | 65% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Atletico Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Levante | XDraw | 2Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.86 | 5.10 | 1.52 | |
| 6.44 | 5.15 | 1.54 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 5.98 | 4.87 | 1.59 |
Sportsbook Odds19 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Levante | XDraw | 2Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.60 | 4.80 | 1.55 | |
| 5.64 | 4.72 | 1.60 | |
| 6.80 | 4.80 | 1.54 | |
| 5.10 | 4.80 | 1.48 | |
| 6.01 | 4.76 | 1.53 | |
| 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.53 | |
| 5.55 | 4.65 | 1.57 | |
| 6.05 | 4.65 | 1.53 | |
| 5.40 | 4.60 | 1.46 | |
| 5.60 | 4.65 | 1.50 | |
| 5.80 | 4.70 | 1.51 | |
| 5.80 | 4.70 | 1.55 | |
| 5.40 | 4.35 | 1.49 | |
| 5.70 | 4.60 | 1.50 | |
PMU | 5.30 | 4.20 | 1.47 |
| 6.00 | 4.70 | 1.47 | |
| 6.10 | 4.75 | 1.53 | |
| 6.00 | 4.70 | 1.54 | |
| 4.90 | 4.60 | 1.46 | |
| Fair odds (average of 19, margin removed) | 5.99 | 4.87 | 1.59 |
Levante win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Atletico Madrid
Oct 31, 26
Levante
0-2
Atletico MadridJan 31, 26
Levante
0-0
Atletico MadridNov 8, 25
Atletico Madrid
3-1
LevanteJan 18, 23
Levante
0-2
Atletico MadridFeb 16, 22
Atletico Madrid
0-1
LevanteOct 28, 21
Levante
2-2
Atletico MadridFeb 20, 21
Atletico Madrid
0-2
LevanteFeb 17, 21
Levante
1-1
Atletico MadridLineups
Levante4-2-3-1
Coach: Luís Castro
13M. RyanG
22J. ToljanD
2A. MandiD
3Ifeanyi NdukweD
29Nacho PérezD
8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
6RequeM
7BruguiM
9Iván RomeroM
24T. FernándezM
21Etta EyongF
Atletico Madrid4-4-2
Coach: D. Simeone
13J. OblakG
14Marcos LlorenteD
18Marc PubillD
17D. HanckoD
22Álex GrimaldoD
20G. SimeoneM
8Pablo BarriosM
23M. HjulmandM
10Álex BaenaM
7Lee Kang-InF
19J. ÁlvarezF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Levante vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid won 2–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Atletico Madrid was the favourite at 65% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Levante 15%, draw 20%, Atletico Madrid 65%).