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Monday, October 12, 2026

Levante
33%
Draw
30%
Sevilla
38%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

LevanteLevante
3 — 3
SevillaSevilla
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Sevilla30%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Sevilla30%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Sevilla30%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket3.063.372.65
Kalshi3.063.372.66
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.983.342.74

Levante win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Adrian Cordero Vega
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Levante
Sevilla
Apr 23, 26
Levante
2-0
Sevilla
Jan 4, 26
Sevilla
0-3
Levante
Apr 21, 22
Levante
2-3
Sevilla
Oct 24, 21
Sevilla
5-3
Levante
Apr 21, 21
Levante
0-1
Sevilla
Oct 1, 20
Sevilla
1-0
Levante
Jun 15, 20
Levante
1-1
Sevilla
Jan 21, 20
Sevilla
3-1
Levante
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Levante vs Sevilla?

Levante vs Sevilla ended in a 3–3 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Sevilla was the favourite at 38% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Levante 33%, draw 30%, Sevilla 38%).