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Friday, October 9, 2026

Málaga
34%
Draw
30%
Espanyol
37%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

MálagaMálaga
1 — 1
EspanyolEspanyol
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Espanyol30%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Espanyol29%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Espanyol30%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.973.372.73
Kalshi3.003.402.68
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.953.352.76

Málaga win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

La Rosaleda, Malaga
Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Málaga
Espanyol
May 2, 21
Espanyol
3-0
Malaga
Nov 2, 20
Malaga
0-3
Espanyol
Sep 2, 20
Malaga
?-?
Espanyol
Sep 2, 20
Espanyol
3-0
Malaga
May 13, 18
Espanyol
4-1
Malaga
Jan 8, 18
Malaga
0-1
Espanyol
Feb 4, 17
Malaga
0-1
Espanyol
Aug 26, 16
Espanyol
2-2
Malaga
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Málaga vs Espanyol?

Málaga vs Espanyol ended in a 1–1 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Espanyol was the favourite at 37% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Málaga 34%, draw 30%, Espanyol 37%).