Rayo Vallecano
33%
Draw
30%
Athletic Bilbao
37%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Rayo Vallecano | XDraw | 2Athletic Bilbao |
|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket | 3.06 | 3.37 | 2.65 |
 Kalshi | 3.03 | 3.33 | 2.70 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.89 | 3.45 | 2.75 |
Rayo Vallecano win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Bilbao
Oct 10, 26
Rayo Vallecano
0-0
Athletic ClubFeb 28, 26
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Athletic ClubAug 25, 25
Athletic Club
1-0
Rayo VallecanoApr 13, 25
Athletic Club
3-1
Rayo VallecanoDec 1, 24
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Athletic ClubMay 25, 24
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic ClubDec 2, 23
Athletic Club
4-0
Rayo VallecanoMar 5, 23
Rayo Vallecano
0-0
Athletic ClubLineups
Rayo Vallecano4-3-3
Coach: Beñat San José
25E. AuderoG
20I. BalliuD
24F. LejeuneD
15Mujaid SadickD
17Adrià PedrosaD
4Pedro DíazM
6P. CissM
8Unai LópezM
19Jorge de FrutosF
10Sergio CamelloF
18Álvaro GarcíaF
Athletic Club4-2-3-1
Coach: E. Terzić
1Unai SimónG
12Jesús AresoD
5YerayD
4Aitor ParedesD
17YuriD
24Beñat GerenabarrenaM
16Ruíz de GalarretaM
23Robert NavarroM
28Peio CanalesM
7Álex BerenguerM
9I. WilliamsF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao?
Athletic Bilbao is the favourite at 37% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: Rayo Vallecano 33%, draw 30%, Athletic Bilbao 37%.
What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?
Rayo Vallecano's last 5 results: Draw, Win, Loss, Win, Loss.
Are there any injuries for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao?
Rayo Vallecano has 9 players injured or doubtful. Athletic Bilbao has 10 players injured or doubtful.
Where can I bet on Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao?
On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.
Where is Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao being played?
At Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid.
