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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

40%

Draw

30%

Celta Vigo

30%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Rayo Vallecano

3 — 0

Celta Vigo

Rayo Vallecano wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Rayo Vallecano.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Rayo Vallecano	Rayo Vallecano	40%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Rayo Vallecano	Rayo Vallecano	39%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Rayo Vallecano	Rayo Vallecano	39%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Rayo Vallecano	XDraw	2Celta Vigo
Polymarket	2.51	3.30	3.36
Kalshi	2.55	3.29	3.29
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.55	3.35	3.24

Sportsbook Odds20 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Rayo Vallecano	XDraw	2Celta Vigo
Betfair	2.62	3.15	3.25
Matchbook	2.62	3.20	3.20
Unibet (NL)	2.40	3.40	3.20
Pinnacle	2.46	3.23	3.23
William Hill	2.40	3.10	3.00
Marathon	2.47	3.25	3.02
BetOnline	2.44	3.20	3.21
1xBet	2.44	3.30	3.05
Betclic	2.30	3.03	2.90
Betsson	2.42	3.10	3.10
Codere	2.41	3.20	3.10
Coolbet	2.46	3.25	3.15
LeoVegas	2.30	3.15	3.00
NordicBet	2.42	3.10	3.10
PMU	2.25	3.10	2.90
Tipico	2.55	3.10	2.90
Unibet (FR)	2.20	3.00	2.95
Unibet (SE)	2.40	3.35	3.15
Winamax (DE)	2.35	3.15	3.00
Winamax (FR)	2.30	3.05	2.90
Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed)	2.55	3.35	3.24