Rayo Vallecano
55%
Draw
25%
Elche
20%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Rayo Vallecano
0 — 3
ElcheElche wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Elche.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Rayo Vallecano | Rayo Vallecano | 20% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Rayo Vallecano | Rayo Vallecano | 21% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Rayo Vallecano | Rayo Vallecano | 21% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Rayo Vallecano | XDraw | 2Elche |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.79 | 4.06 | 5.10 |
| Kalshi | 1.82 | 4.08 | 4.86 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.83 | 4.03 | 4.87 |
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Rayo Vallecano | XDraw | 2Elche |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.81 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
 BetOnline | 1.71 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.94 | 4.78 |
 Matchbook | 1.81 | 3.95 | 5.00 |
 Unibet (NL) | 1.73 | 3.95 | 5.10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75 | 3.95 | 5.10 |
 Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.92 | 4.68 |
 William Hill | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
 Marathon | 1.76 | 3.84 | 4.65 |
 Betclic | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.35 |
 Betsson | 1.72 | 3.75 | 4.65 |
 Codere | 1.77 | 3.85 | 4.50 |
 Coolbet | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
 Everygame | 1.75 | 3.85 | 4.50 |
 LeoVegas | 1.67 | 3.65 | 4.60 |
 NordicBet | 1.72 | 3.75 | 4.65 |
PMU | 1.65 | 3.55 | 4.50 |
 Tipico | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.74 | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed) | 1.83 | 4.03 | 4.87 |
Rayo Vallecano win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Rayo VallecanoElche
Oct 24, 26
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
ElcheApr 3, 26
Rayo Vallecano
1-0
ElcheDec 21, 25
Elche
4-0
Rayo VallecanoApr 29, 23
Elche
4-0
Rayo VallecanoOct 3, 22
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
ElcheFeb 18, 22
Elche
2-1
Rayo VallecanoOct 17, 21
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
ElcheJan 16, 21
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
ElcheLineups
Rayo Vallecano4-3-3
Coach: Beñat San José
25E. AuderoG
20I. BalliuD
24F. LejeuneD
15Mujaid SadickD
17Adrià PedrosaD
4Pedro DíazM
6P. CissM
8Unai LópezM
19Jorge de FrutosF
10Sergio CamelloF
18Álvaro GarcíaF
Elche4-3-3
Coach: M. Anselmi
1M. DituroG
2Buba SangaréD
5F. RedondoD
23Víctor ChustD
3R. RevivoD
12Gonzalo VillarM
47J. MorcilloM
18T. LemarM
21L. CepedaF
14Fer NiñoF
11Germán ValeraF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Elche won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Rayo Vallecano was the favourite at 55% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Rayo Vallecano 55%, draw 25%, Elche 20%).
