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Saturday, October 17, 2026

Real Betis
15%
Draw
18%
Barcelona
67%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Real BetisReal Betis
2 — 5
BarcelonaBarcelona
Barcelona wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Barcelona.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Barcelona67%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Barcelona67%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Barcelona66%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket6.495.741.49
Kalshi6.735.611.49
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)6.065.821.51

Real Betis win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Real Betis
Barcelona
Oct 17, 26
Real Betis
2-4
Barcelona
May 17, 26
Barcelona
3-1
Real Betis
Dec 6, 25
Real Betis
3-5
Barcelona
Apr 5, 25
Barcelona
1-1
Real Betis
Jan 15, 25
Barcelona
5-1
Real Betis
Dec 7, 24
Real Betis
2-2
Barcelona
Jan 21, 24
Real Betis
2-4
Barcelona
Sep 16, 23
Barcelona
5-0
Real Betis
Lineups
Real Betis4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Pellegrini
1Álvaro VallésG
2Héctor BellerínD
3Diego LlorenteD
16V. GómezD
11Fran GarcíaD
6F. BernalM
25Dani CeballosM
20G. Lo CelsoM
8Pablo FornalsM
10A. EzzalzouliM
9C. HernándezF
Barcelona4-2-3-1
Coach: H. Flick
1Joan GarcíaG
23J. KoundéD
5Pau Cubarsí ParedesD
18Gerard MartínD
12X. EspartD
16RodriM
8PedriM
10Lamine YamalM
7FermínM
14K. AdeyemiM
9Gabriel JesusF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Barcelona won 5–2.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Barcelona was the favourite at 67% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Real Betis 15%, draw 18%, Barcelona 67%).