Real Betis
75%
Draw
16%
Málaga
10%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Real Betis
2 — 1
MálagaReal Betis wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Real Betis.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Real Betis | Real Betis | 75% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Real Betis | Real Betis | 75% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Real Betis | Real Betis | 73% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Real Betis | XDraw | 2Málaga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.33 | 6.48 | 10.58 |
| Kalshi | 1.34 | 6.37 | 10.20 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.37 | 6.11 | 9.60 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Real Betis | XDraw | 2Málaga |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.33 | 6.20 | 10.50 |
 1xBet | 1.35 | 5.85 | 9.50 |
 Matchbook | 1.33 | 6.20 | 10.50 |
 Unibet (NL) | 1.29 | 6.25 | 10.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30 | 6.25 | 10.00 |
 Pinnacle | 1.31 | 5.95 | 9.77 |
 William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
 Marathon | 1.32 | 5.65 | 9.20 |
 BetOnline | 1.32 | 5.90 | 9.35 |
 Betclic | 1.27 | 5.60 | 8.25 |
 Betsson | 1.28 | 5.85 | 9.80 |
 Codere | 1.31 | 5.80 | 8.80 |
 Coolbet | 1.32 | 5.85 | 9.70 |
 LeoVegas | 1.26 | 5.60 | 8.50 |
 NordicBet | 1.27 | 5.80 | 9.70 |
PMU | 1.25 | 5.40 | 8.50 |
 Tipico | 1.27 | 6.00 | 9.50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25 | 5.40 | 8.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.28 | 5.90 | 7.75 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26 | 5.60 | 7.25 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 1.37 | 6.12 | 9.59 |
Real Betis win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Real BetisMálaga
Aug 9, 25
Malaga
3-1
Real BetisApr 30, 18
Real Betis
2-1
MalagaDec 18, 17
Malaga
0-2
Real BetisFeb 28, 17
Malaga
1-2
Real BetisSep 23, 16
Real Betis
1-0
MalagaMar 19, 16
Real Betis
0-1
MalagaNov 7, 15
Malaga
0-1
Real BetisMar 31, 14
Real Betis
1-2
MalagaLineups
Real Betis4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Pellegrini
1Álvaro VallésG
2Héctor BellerínD
5Marc BartraD
4NatanD
11Fran GarcíaD
8Pablo FornalsM
21Marc RocaM
17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
22IscoM
10A. EzzalzouliM
19T. ParrottF
Malaga4-1-4-1
Coach: Funes
1Alfonso HerreroG
3PugaD
20Fernando CaleroD
4Einar GalileaD
31RafitaD
6Ramón EnríquezM
10David LarrubiaM
8Carlos DotorM
22Dani LorenzoM
39Adam Aznou Ben CheikhM
21Adrián Niño HerediaF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Real Betis vs Málaga?
Real Betis won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Real Betis was the favourite at 75% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Real Betis 75%, draw 16%, Málaga 10%).
