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Sunday, October 11, 2026

Real Betis
66%
Draw
20%
Osasuna
14%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Real BetisReal Betis
5 — 2
OsasunaOsasuna
Real Betis wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Real Betis.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Real Betis66%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Real Betis66%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Real Betis64%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.524.857.37
Kalshi1.525.007.14
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.554.766.81

Real Betis win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville
Carlos Muñiz Muñoz
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Real Betis
Osasuna
Oct 11, 26
Real Betis
4-2
Osasuna
Apr 12, 26
Osasuna
1-1
Real Betis
Sep 28, 25
Real Betis
2-0
Osasuna
May 11, 25
Real Betis
1-1
Osasuna
Oct 19, 24
Osasuna
1-2
Real Betis
May 5, 24
Osasuna
0-2
Real Betis
Oct 29, 23
Real Betis
2-1
Osasuna
Apr 22, 23
Osasuna
3-2
Real Betis
Lineups
Real Betis4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Pellegrini
1Álvaro VallésG
2Héctor BellerínD
3Diego LlorenteD
4NatanD
11Fran GarcíaD
8Pablo FornalsM
21Marc RocaM
17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
22IscoM
10A. EzzalzouliM
9C. HernándezF
Osasuna4-4-2
Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis
13Aitor FernándezG
27Íñigo ArguibideD
24CatenaD
35U. SantosD
23Abel BretonesD
14Rubén GarcíaM
7MoncayolaM
6Lucas TorróM
16Moi GómezM
17A. BudimirF
9Raúl GarcíaF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Real Betis vs Osasuna?

Real Betis won 5–2.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Real Betis was the favourite at 66% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Real Betis 66%, draw 20%, Osasuna 14%).