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Sunday, October 11, 2026

Real Sociedad
57%
Draw
24%
Deportivo La Coruña
19%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
3 — 2
Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña
Real Sociedad wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Real Sociedad.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Real Sociedad57%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Real Sociedad57%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Real Sociedad59%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.764.065.38
Kalshi1.764.255.10
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.704.265.65

Real Sociedad win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian
Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Real Sociedad
Deportivo La Coruña
Oct 11, 26
Real Sociedad
3-2
Deportivo La Coruna
Feb 2, 18
Real Sociedad
5-0
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 10, 17
Deportivo La Coruna
2-4
Real Sociedad
Apr 23, 17
Real Sociedad
1-0
Deportivo La Coruna
Dec 5, 16
Deportivo La Coruna
5-1
Real Sociedad
Jan 16, 16
Real Sociedad
1-1
Deportivo La Coruna
Aug 22, 15
Deportivo La Coruna
0-0
Real Sociedad
Apr 12, 15
Real Sociedad
2-2
Deportivo La Coruna
Lineups
Real Sociedad4-4-2
Coach: P. Matarazzo
1Álex RemiroG
15Pablo MarínD
6Jon MartínD
19M. SarrD
17Sergio GómezD
7BarrenetxeaM
21Y. HerreraM
18Carlos SolerM
11Gonçalo GuedesM
24L. SučićF
23A. ZakharyanF
Deportivo La Coruna4-4-2
Coach: Antonio Hidalgo
13Leo RománG
23Ximo NavarroD
20J. GiménezD
22B. EdeD
12G. QuagliataD
11David MellaM
21Mario SorianoM
8Diego VillaresM
10PekeM
19Luismi CruzF
32B. NsongoF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña?

Real Sociedad won 3–2.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Real Sociedad was the favourite at 57% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Real Sociedad 57%, draw 24%, Deportivo La Coruña 19%).