Real Sociedad
62%
Draw
21%
Levante
17%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Real Sociedad
2 — 1
LevanteReal Sociedad wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Real Sociedad.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad | 62% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad | 61% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Real Sociedad | XDraw | 2Levante |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.59 | 4.85 | 6.03 |
| Kalshi | 1.62 | 4.86 | 5.67 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.64 | 4.79 | 5.52 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Real Sociedad | XDraw | 2Levante |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.61 | 4.80 | 5.80 |
 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.67 | 5.39 |
 Matchbook | 1.61 | 4.80 | 5.80 |
 Pinnacle | 1.57 | 4.76 | 5.31 |
 William Hill | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
 Marathon | 1.58 | 4.55 | 5.25 |
 BetOnline | 1.59 | 4.58 | 5.35 |
 Betclic | 1.51 | 4.50 | 4.95 |
 Betsson | 1.52 | 4.55 | 5.40 |
 Codere | 1.56 | 4.70 | 5.20 |
 Coolbet | 1.58 | 4.65 | 5.50 |
 LeoVegas | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.10 |
 NordicBet | 1.52 | 4.50 | 5.40 |
PMU | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
 Tipico | 1.52 | 4.70 | 5.30 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.50 | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56 | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57 | 4.60 | 5.60 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.54 | 4.70 | 4.90 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50 | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 1.64 | 4.79 | 5.52 |
Real Sociedad win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Real SociedadLevante
Oct 25, 26
Real Sociedad
2-1
LevanteApr 4, 26
Real Sociedad
2-0
LevanteDec 20, 25
Levante
1-1
Real SociedadMay 6, 22
Levante
2-1
Real SociedadAug 28, 21
Real Sociedad
1-0
LevanteMar 7, 21
Real Sociedad
1-0
LevanteDec 19, 20
Levante
2-1
Real SociedadJul 6, 20
Levante
1-1
Real SociedadLineups
Real Sociedad4-4-2
Coach: P. Matarazzo
1Álex RemiroG
22Héctor FortD
6Jon MartínD
19M. SarrD
17Sergio GómezD
24L. SučićM
4Jon GorrotxategiM
8Beñat TurrientesM
11Gonçalo GuedesM
10Mikel OyarzabalF
9O. ÓskarssonF
Levante4-4-2
Coach: Luís Castro
13M. RyanG
29Nacho PérezD
2A. MandiD
3Ifeanyi NdukweD
23Manu SánchezD
7BruguiM
8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
6RequeM
24T. FernándezM
9Iván RomeroF
10P. RatkovF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Real Sociedad won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Real Sociedad was the favourite at 62% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Real Sociedad 62%, draw 21%, Levante 17%).
